Police Suicide Numbers and the Chicken Little Factor

A Study of Police Suicide in 2008-2009
The "Other Half" of Police Suicide Prevention

POLICE SUICIDE NUMBERS AND THE CHICKEN LITTLE FACTOR

 

On the Risks and Dangers of Disseminating Unverifiable Information

 

 

by Andy O’Hara

Badge of Life Psychological Survival for Police Officers

 

 

 

For several years, the popular numbers given for annual police suicides have been 300, 400 and even higher.

 

“Every 17 to 21 hours,” shrills another, “a police officer takes his own life!”  (This equals as many as 515 officers per year.) 

 

450 police suicides per year works out to an annual suicide rate of 56/100,000.  In comparison, the US Army had a suicide rate of 20/100,000 in 2008 and the Marines 19/100,000.  The general public was 11/100,000.

The figures handed out for law enforcement are certainly exciting numbers, snatched up enthusiastically by police officers and the media alike.  Unfortunately, no one has ever bothered to question their validity--or do the math to realize they don’t work.

 

We contacted one highly popular group responsible for disseminating these numbers and asked, several times, that they provide us enough information (minus names) from their database (if they had one) for any one year that would allow us to follow up and validate their numbers.  Each time, our requests were refused with  excuses that all their information, no mattter how far back, was some kind of "living document" that couldn't be revealed and, when pushed, that they simply "don't have to."

 

This only made us question it more. 

 

In January, 2008, we began a study of our own, this time a scientific one, with the intent of accurately measuring the number of police suicides in all 50 states.  It was based on actual suicide cases gathered through a web-based year long surveillance of news reports on police suicide.  Approximately 119,000 suicide-related news articles were read during the year for information relating to police suicides in the United States.  In addition, daily checks were made of police websites, forums, blogs and emails sent by contributors and verified.  A 17% error factor (based on research) was given for misreported suicides and another 20% for missed suicides. This meant a 37% error factor.

 

We also watched for the supposed "mystery" suicides--suspected of occurring in secret, disguised as "murders," covered up as accidents, or otherwise planned such as driving into bridge abutments, etc. Between our vigilant examination of such cases and our 37% error factor, we were satisfied with the result.

 

The results showed 141 police suicides in 2008.  The study was published in the International Journal of Emergency Mental Health.

 

We repeated the study through 2009, and our preliminary results show 148 police suicides.  Both year’s results are in keeping with CDC/NOMS data and reveal a police suicide rate of 17/100,000 (not 56/100,000). By comparing our information to other sources available, we are satisfied that these figures are a valid representation of the actual trend in police suicides.   

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We repeated the study through 2009, and our preliminary results show 148 police suicides.  Both year’s results are in keeping with CDC/NOMS data and reveal a police suicide rate of 17/100,000 (not 53/100,000). By comparing our information to other scientific sources available, we are satisfied that these figures are a valid representation of the trend in police suicides. 

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Is it important that we ask sources to back up the supposed data they give us?  Of course it is, particularly when we're dealing with lives and programs that are designed on the basis of that data.  "Just trust me" isn't good enough. With our study we can provide the full year's material from which our data was derived. 

 

Why would it be dangerous to put out inflated numbers?  Because it creates the illusion that police officers are killing themselves so fast it’s hard to keep count, that they’re dropping like flies from suicide, and that the best we can hope for is to spot the next officer waving his gun around in the locker room. We don't have time to implement a sounder, more rounded answer to the overall problem.

 

Suicide is a bad enough problem in law enforcement and higher than it should be.  But being whipped into stopgap measures by totally unverifiable, pandemic numbers does us no good.  

 

The 141 suicides we verified in 2008 were almost three times the number of officers killed by felons.  Yet for every officer who commits suicide, there are a thousand more officers still working and suffering from extreme stress or from work-related trauma.  We need to focus on them, just as much as we do the suicides.  It’s not, in other words, just a matter of waiting until the officer is suicidal or “in crisis.”

 

Improved mental health programs, ongoing throughout an officer’s career, teaching them how to improve their resilience and be prepared for stress and trauma long before it even occurs, is what will solve our suicide problem in the long term.  Simply waiting for them to cry for help, to get into crisis, has never worked and never will.  Suicides continue to climb.

 

Reacting to panic cries, like those of Chicken Little, won’t do us a bit of good. We need sound, visible information from which to work so that we can plan our programs effectively and find long term solutions, for all our officers. 

 

It’s time to bring some reality into our programs rather than shooting blindly in the dark at an elusive and unknown target. It's time to stop hiding things from one another.  It's time to stop worrying about "our turf" and what's "all about us." 

 

The first place we can begin is by insisting on the best possible information with which to plan for the future.

 

 

 

 

For a summary of our 2008 study, go to 2008 NSOPS Study.

 

For a copy of the 2008 study, contact the International Journal of Emergency Mental Health.

 

For a law enforcement copy of the 2008 study, contact us at BadgeOfLife@yahoo.com

 

The 2009 study will be published in early 2010.

 


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